Waste vs. Value in American Health Care
By UWE E. REINHARDT
Uwe E. Reinhardt is an economics professor at Princeton. He has some financial interests in the health care field.
Give economists a drink – or not – and with a straight face they will tell you that the American health-care systems is one of the highest value-added sectors in the economy (see, for example, the book “Measuring the Gains From Medical Research,” edited by Kevin M. Murphy and Robert H. Topel.)
Give economists another drink – or not — and with the same straight face they will tell you that our system is alarmingly wasteful.
To illustrate, in a presentation, “The Value Equation in Health Care,” delivered at a conference at Rice University in 2007, the Harvard economist David Cutler, who has studied these issues extensively, noted: “I highlight two fundamental facts about health care. The first fact is that the average value of medical advance is very high,” and the second is that “most estimates suggest that about 20 percent to 30 percent of medical spending could be eliminated with no adverse effects on patient outcomes.”
Lest you wonder what economists like Professor Cutler are talking about, behold the chart below.
The horizontal axis denotes average health spending per capita. The vertical axis represents “quality-adjusted life years,” or QALY‘s, a widely used outcome metricin health-services research.
When economists speak of the health system as a “high average-value sector,” they have in mind an average such as the distance AB in the chart divided by the distance OB, but with a monetary value – very often $100,000 or more – put upon the QALY (see, for example, this article). Of course, what a QALY actually is worth leads one quickly into a philosophical and ideologically charged thicket, especially when someone asks whether a QALY has the same monetary value regardless of on whom it is bestowed. I will delicately sidestep that issue here, although I welcome those who wish to offer their views on it.
When economists talk about waste in our health system, they have in mind not an average, but what they call the marginal (incremental) benefits to the marginal (incremental) spending on them. The ratio is negative on the input-output curve beyond A. That segment represents not only pure, unambiguous waste, but waste that is inimical to the health of patients – e.g., unnecessary surgery or imaging or unwarranted drug therapy with antibiotics.
But in many economists’ minds – and in quite a few minds of clinicians and management consultants, there is waste also in the almost flat but still upward-sloping segment in the curve, say, from C to A. That incremental spending is called wasteful in the sense that the monetary value imputed to the few QALY’s added by the extra spending is judged below the amount of that added spending (EB on the horizontal axis).
Thus speak economists when they are in a vertical position and healthy.
Rich Man’s Recovery
By PAUL KRUGMAN
A few days ago, The Times published a report on a society that is being undermined by extreme inequality. This society claims to reward the best and brightest regardless of family background. In practice, however, the children of the wealthy benefit from opportunities and connections unavailable to children of the middle and working classes. And it was clear from the article that the gap between the society’s meritocratic ideology and its increasingly oligarchic reality is having a deeply demoralizing effect.
The report illustrated in a nutshell why extreme inequality is destructive, why claims ring hollow that inequality of outcomes doesn’t matter as long as there is equality of opportunity. If the rich are so much richer than the rest that they live in a different social and material universe, that fact in itself makes nonsense of any notion of equal opportunity.
By the way, which society are we talking about? The answer is: the Harvard Business School — an elite institution, but one that is now characterized by a sharp internal division between ordinary students and a sub-elite of students from wealthy families.
The point, of course, is that as the business school goes, so goes America, only even more so — a point driven home by the latest data on taxpayer incomes.
The data in question have been compiled for the past decade by the economists Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez, who use I.R.S. numbers to estimate the concentration of income in America’s upper strata. According to their estimates, top income shares took a hit during the Great Recession, as things like capital gains and Wall Street bonuses temporarily dried up. But the rich have come roaring back, to such an extent that 95 percent of the gains from economic recovery since 2009 have gone to the famous 1 percent. In fact, more than 60 percent of the gains went to the top 0.1 percent, people with annual incomes of more than $1.9 million.
Basically, while the great majority of Americans are still living in a depressed economy, the rich have recovered just about all their losses and are powering ahead.
Republican healthcare, purity stances complicate image makeover
By Cathleen Decker
7:00 AM PDT, September 13, 2013
Two unrelated occurrences — one in Washington, one in California — conspired this week to reinforce the Republican Party’s struggle to gain the up-and-coming voters it needs for long-term survival. And it also underscored the value Republicans place on purity, often to their electoral detriment.
In Washington, concern deepened about a threat by conservative Republicans in the House to shut down the government — in defiance even of their leaders’ desires — unless Congress explicitly cuts off funding for the nation’s new healthcare law. The insurance marketplaces established by the law, and championed by President Obama over GOP objections, are due to go into effect Oct. 1, the same day the new fiscal year begins.
In California, the team running the Republican gubernatorial effort of Abel Maldonado departed the campaign, leaving the candidate with almost no money, staff or establishment backing as he tries to take down a popular Democratic governor next year.
The Washington developments certainly have a higher profile. Some party leaders have noted the clanging disconnect between the party’s stated desire to broaden beyond its base of mostly white voters, and its repeated attempts to kill the new healthcare plan. While it is being presented as principle — the need to halt a government overreach — the absence of any sort of proposed replacement lends a hostile cast. That could well be the take-away among black voters — Obama’s strongest supporters — and Democratic-leaning Latinos, the burgeoning voter bloc both parties desire.
An August poll by the Kaiser Family Foundation showed that views of the healthcare plan — derided as “Obamacare” by opponents — differed widely by ethnic group. Among whites, 52% opposed it and only 30% supported it. Views of Latinos were opposite, with 52% favoring it and 25% opposing it. Among blacks, 63% were in favor and 17% opposed.
Some of the appeal may be partisan — support for the plan may grow out of regard for the president. But it is also true that healthcare is a huge issue in many minority communities. An October 2012 survey by Pew Research Center’s Hispanic Trends Project showed that healthcare was listed as an “extremely important” issue by 50% of Latino voters, trailing only narrowly behind education and jobs
Getting radical in patient care safety — Part 2
Posted Sept. 12, 2013, at 12:35 p.m.
I used to think I was Dr. Wizard Oz — all knowing, and all powerful. Twenty-five years in practice have hauled back the green curtain from my illusion and exposed this truth: my patients are better off if I share the power in patient care with patients, nurses and other members of the patient care team.
So is the patient. In fact, there is growing evidence that when everyone else in the patient care system always defers to the doc, care may be less safe than if others feel empowered to challenge physician authority at critical times and on critical issues. The best health care organizations are now teaching patients and patient care staff to question — and even challenge — physicians when those nonphysicians think the physician is making an error in the patient’s care, and teaching physicians to welcome those challenges. The result can be a substantial reduction in medical errors, safer patients, more satisfied health care staff and better physicians.
It seems paradoxical that patient safety could be improved by taking authority and power away from that member of a patient care team with the greatest knowledge about patient care — the physician. That’s like improving airline safety by taking authority away from the captain — the most senior member of the crew — and giving some to the less experienced people in the cockpit. Exactly, and that is just what airlines have done. The result of this change in cockpit culture has been a dramatic improvement in airline safety. This and other airline safety initiatives have taught safety experts everywhere that complex systems such as health care are less error prone when one person does not have so much authority and power that everyone else is afraid to challenge the mighty Dr. Oz.
The history of airliner crashes is replete with disasters in which the crew knew that the captain was making risky decisions but said nothing, or failed to say something repeatedly and emphatically, because they were afraid to challenge the king of the cockpit. So is the history of medical errors. In fact, about 40 percent of the time investigations of medical errors find that someone involved in the patient’s care was worried an error might be made but failed to intervene, often because they were afraid to effectively challenge the physician or some other more senior member of the care team.
One of the main reasons people are reluctant to speak up when they know something is going wrong is what psychologists call the Power Distance Index (PDI, power distance, or power ratio), meaning the perceived difference in the power held by each of two people in a relationship. The greater the difference, the more reluctant those with less perceived power are to challenge those with more. That’s especially true if those with more perceived power are seen as likely to be unwelcoming or dismissive of anything that seems like a challenge, or to retaliate against those they see as challenging their authority.
The need to tackle power differentials goes beyond patient safety. Patients empowered with more knowledge about their options for treatment of a given health problem often choose less aggressive interventions than those recommended by their physician, and may be more likely to forgo futile end-of-life care. Less of a power distance between patient and physician can therefore mean more shared decision-making in patient care.
AFL-CIO reaffirms commitment to single payer, demands fixes to ACA
By Kay Tillow
Single Payer News, Sept. 12, 2013
Single Payer News, Sept. 12, 2013
The just-concluded AFL-CIO convention in Los Angeles reaffirmed its commitment to a single-payer health care system while demanding that the Affordable Care Act (ACA) be fixed to protect Taft-Hartley (multi-employer) plans, to end the excise tax, to make employers cover workers who average 20 hours a week, to require construction companies with five or more employees to provide health care, to penalize companies who dump their workers onto Medicaid, plus more.
Some of the debate on the resolution can be seen here:
Full text of the resolution can be found here:
Distributed by All Unions Committee for Single Payer Health Care--HR 676, c/o Nurses Professional Organization (NPO), 1169 Eastern Parkway, Suite 2218, Louisville, KY 40217. Phone: (502) 636-1551. E-mail: nursenpo@aol.com. http://unionsforsinglepayer.org
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